Wednesday, December 27, 2006

HOLIDAY BOWL PREDICTION

Let us first say that this is the most important bowl game for the University of California since the 1951 Rose Bowl. That says something about the Holiday Bowl, and even more about Cal football history between Pappy and St. Jeff.

Our Golden Bears sputtered to the finish line with uninspired performances against Arizona, USC and Stanford. Nate Longshore has seemingly regressed since the UCLA game. Our run blocking has vanished, forcing #10 to do too much on his own. Our opponent, Texas A&M, is playing as well as any team in the Big XII right now and would acquit themselves well in several of the BCS games.

And like it or not, Cal has developed a (largely undeserved) reputation as a candy bar program - one whose hardened exterior gives way under pressure to reveal a soft, nougaty center. Now reputations don't mean much when they're referenced by national know-nothings like the ESPN bunch, or the Fox bunch, or pretty much anyone who is compensated for reading cue cards into a teleprompter. They can matter quite a bit, however, when they permeate the cerebral cortexes of impressionable seventeen-year olds in the process of choosing a university.

California can take a giant step toward rewriting the conventional wisdom about its football team by standing up to the yard-chewing three-headed option attack of Texas A&M.

This is precisely the type of game that the Bears are supposed to lose. The matchups don't favor Cal. The Bears have done just fine against schools that bang away inside, but the Aggies are a ball-faking misdirection team that encourages over-pursuit and burns defenses who lack discipline. On defense, the Ags are reasonably stout against the run, and Cal had a hard time pushing Stanford off the football in early December.

There are exactly three matchups that absolutely work in Cal's favor: our receivers on their secondary, their punt cover team against DeSean Jackson, and their field goal kicker v. gravity. Is that enough to get a win Thursday night? Maybe. It depends on a few things:
  • Will Longshore display a mature pocket presence, going through his progressions and waiting for receivers to find soft spots in the zone?
  • Will Cal's offensive line have a (typically) good game in pass protect, with zero sacks and few pressures?
  • Can the line establish some sort of threat on the ground, to force both linebackers and the Whip backer to cheat toward the line of scrimmage on 1st and 2nd down?
  • Will Cal go vertical whenever the opportunity presents itself?
We're eternal optimists up on Tightwad Hill, so we answer yes to all of these questions. If the answer to two or more is "no," then Cal could lose ugly, because A&M seems like a cinch to score 24 points. We think Cal will need to score at least three touchdowns to win the Holiday Bowl, and we think we'll get them: two through the air and one on the winged feet of your Holiday Bowl MVP, DeSean Jackson. Add in a big dose of Tom Schneider, and Cal has the victory. Gig 'em, Bears!

California 30 Texas A&M 28

5 Comments:

At 11:03 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Bear will not quit! The Bear will not die!
Let's kick some aggie butt. Go Bears!!

 
At 10:07 AM, Blogger Brad said...

"and their field goal kicker v. gravity"

hahaha

 
At 12:16 PM, Anonymous Old Blue 87 said...

Just as an aside, I want to mention how refreshing it is to enter a game like this, important for both sides, and to see that there is a pretty good feeling of respect between the (few) fans commenting.

I've dropped by the TAMU sites and for the most part they have the same attitude I sense from the Cal fans: they are unapologetic about rooting for their school, but it hasn't become personal.

I say this is refreshing based on how other fan sites seem to be handling their opponents (cough-bruinsnation-cough).

Anyway, Go Bears!

 
At 5:49 AM, Anonymous site said...

Thanks for your article, quite effective info.

 
At 3:24 AM, Blogger Xiaozhengmm 123 said...

2015-7-10 xiaozhengm
pandora rings
nike blazer
michael kors handbag
soccer shoes
abercrombie outlet
ed hardy
cheap soccer shoes
nike blazer low
nike tn pas cher
louboutin
longchamp outlet
christian louboutin
soccer jerseys wholesale
mont blanc pens
longchamp handbags
kate spade outlet
gucci outlet
michael kors outlet online
oakley sunglasses
louis vuitton
michael kors
oakley sunglasses discount
nike air force
chaussure louboutin
replica watches cheap
true religion jeans
oakley sunglasses
michael kors outlet
gucci uk
oakley sunglasses wholesale
chanel handbags
pandora jewelry
coach factory outlet
polo ralph lauren
coach outlet store online
cheap beats
ray ban wayfarer
kate spade handbags
cheap true religion jeans
michael kors outlet

 

Post a Comment

<< Home